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AI experts predict: the next 20 years, the machine and the human brain will be one
AI experts predict: the next 20 years, the machine and the human brain will be one
In 2017, the public's attitude toward artificial intelligence seems to be hovering between the fear of ignorance and the cautious optimism. However, more and more people believe that artificial intelligence will play a vital role in human development. These people who believe are neither outsiders nor different people - in fact, they are working on cutting-edge technology at Google and other companies.
Google artificial intelligence and futurist expert Ray Kurzweil delivered a speech at the close question and answer session of the Council on foreign relations held last week. In the public view, Ray Kurzweil's view of human future may be radical, because in public awareness, the headlines, Elon Musk and Stephen Hocking's warning for the third world war have left a deep impression on them.
AI robot
He immediately pointed out that the present age is the best period in human history. What he means is that most people don't know that hunger and poverty are at their lowest levels ever. "Three billion of the world's population has smartphones, and I thought it was two billion at first, but it turned out to be three billion." In a few years, this number will be six billion." He said.
The deadliest war in human history, the Second World War ended 72 years ago. Since then, mankind has fallen into countless skirmishes, police operations, and even real wars. However, the United States is still in its longest history of war and not to the end-. At present, mankind is enjoying an unprecedented peace period in the history of human civilization.
But there are also fears that artificial intelligence will somehow affect this process and involve humanity in another "destruction" level. If the technology such as the atomic bomb had made World War II reach its deadliest destruction ever since, then would the destruction of the third world war be greater?
According to Kurzweil, the truth is much more complicated than that. He believes that we have been able to coexist in such a long period of time (in a macro historical context), partly because democracy has begun to take root in the global context. At the same time, he also believes that the progress of communication technology directly contributed to the rise of democracy. According to his statement:
A century ago, the number of democracies was numbered; the number of democracies was less than two centuries ago. At present, the world seems to be more peaceful and peaceful. But this is not the case, because our judgments about the problems of the world are becoming clearer.
So what happens next? He believes that the biological features we have will gradually decrease, because human beings are evolving, and the next stage of our evolution will be the internal application of technology. The result of man-machine mixing is not metal monster. It's just a chip in your brain, not your iPhone phone.
In the future, instead of asking Google, "Hey, what's the weather like today?"" And then wait for the answer from the flashing box, so as to be more shocking: the weather is coming out of your head, and then you can get the answer directly.
Kursweil believes that by 2029, "medical robots can enter our brain and connect our new cortex to intelligent clouds."".
Even for tech journalists who routinely report artificial intelligence, the idea is pretty shocking. It's hard to imagine that before Justin Bibb was 35 years old, people could connect the brain with the cloud.
However, not to deny Ray Kurzweil view that he seldom make mistakes. He has made hundreds of thousands of predictions in the field of science and technology, which, in general, should be done by futurists, but 90% of his predictions are correct.
According to Kurzweil, the future is incredible, but it is worth mentioning that he believes that the present age is also quite great. He reminded us, "just a few years ago, we had communications devices like smartphones, but they didn't run smoothly," he said.
Today's smartphones can easily cope with complex voice commands, such as "finding all the photos I took when I went to San Francisco", "playing Star Trek: the next generation", third season, sixteenth episodes, and so on. Today's mobile phones can recognize speakers, even when they play music, and recognize your voice and execute commands effortlessly.
The acceleration of the artificial intelligence revolution behind it is the law of accelerated returns, and the predictions made by Ray Kurzweil. For the definition of machine learning ability limit, I'm afraid it will need to be evaluated again and again.
Google artificial intelligence and futurist expert Ray Kurzweil delivered a speech at the close question and answer session of the Council on foreign relations held last week. In the public view, Ray Kurzweil's view of human future may be radical, because in public awareness, the headlines, Elon Musk and Stephen Hocking's warning for the third world war have left a deep impression on them.
AI robot
He immediately pointed out that the present age is the best period in human history. What he means is that most people don't know that hunger and poverty are at their lowest levels ever. "Three billion of the world's population has smartphones, and I thought it was two billion at first, but it turned out to be three billion." In a few years, this number will be six billion." He said.
The deadliest war in human history, the Second World War ended 72 years ago. Since then, mankind has fallen into countless skirmishes, police operations, and even real wars. However, the United States is still in its longest history of war and not to the end-. At present, mankind is enjoying an unprecedented peace period in the history of human civilization.
But there are also fears that artificial intelligence will somehow affect this process and involve humanity in another "destruction" level. If the technology such as the atomic bomb had made World War II reach its deadliest destruction ever since, then would the destruction of the third world war be greater?
According to Kurzweil, the truth is much more complicated than that. He believes that we have been able to coexist in such a long period of time (in a macro historical context), partly because democracy has begun to take root in the global context. At the same time, he also believes that the progress of communication technology directly contributed to the rise of democracy. According to his statement:
A century ago, the number of democracies was numbered; the number of democracies was less than two centuries ago. At present, the world seems to be more peaceful and peaceful. But this is not the case, because our judgments about the problems of the world are becoming clearer.
So what happens next? He believes that the biological features we have will gradually decrease, because human beings are evolving, and the next stage of our evolution will be the internal application of technology. The result of man-machine mixing is not metal monster. It's just a chip in your brain, not your iPhone phone.
In the future, instead of asking Google, "Hey, what's the weather like today?"" And then wait for the answer from the flashing box, so as to be more shocking: the weather is coming out of your head, and then you can get the answer directly.
Kursweil believes that by 2029, "medical robots can enter our brain and connect our new cortex to intelligent clouds."".
Even for tech journalists who routinely report artificial intelligence, the idea is pretty shocking. It's hard to imagine that before Justin Bibb was 35 years old, people could connect the brain with the cloud.
However, not to deny Ray Kurzweil view that he seldom make mistakes. He has made hundreds of thousands of predictions in the field of science and technology, which, in general, should be done by futurists, but 90% of his predictions are correct.
According to Kurzweil, the future is incredible, but it is worth mentioning that he believes that the present age is also quite great. He reminded us, "just a few years ago, we had communications devices like smartphones, but they didn't run smoothly," he said.
Today's smartphones can easily cope with complex voice commands, such as "finding all the photos I took when I went to San Francisco", "playing Star Trek: the next generation", third season, sixteenth episodes, and so on. Today's mobile phones can recognize speakers, even when they play music, and recognize your voice and execute commands effortlessly.
And just a few years ago, most of us would soon give up the use of voice control because we were tired of endlessly repeating instructions. We believe that we will wait until the day of technical improvement. Now, it's really much better.
The acceleration of the artificial intelligence revolution behind it is the law of accelerated returns, and the predictions made by Ray Kurzweil. For the definition of machine learning ability limit, I'm afraid it will need to be evaluated again and again.